The Quantitative Models

Advanced Forecasting’s quantitative turning-points forecasting models uses only measurable economic factors as inputs. We measure early and wait for time to take place. Below is an explanation of how the models operate.  

Economic Factors change and start to influence the purchase behavior of End-Equipment Customers’. After some delay resulting from extrapolations, the Distribution Channel, retailers and wholesalers, feel the change in demand. After another delay, resulting from extrapolations, they change their orders from OEMs (original equipment manufacturers). The latter revise their bookings of Semiconductors and Peripherals, impacting the backlog of IC (integrated circuits) Vendors, that later modify their demand for Semiconductor Equipment and Materials. 

This model is designed to counter-balance the information companies obtain through their own channels (sales and marketing departments, customers, etc.), alleviating the use of human opinion as a basis for future projections.

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