Saratoga, CA - December 7, 2004 – “Average Selling Price of Wireless Communication ICs will continue to decline into Q1-2005, at a slower pace than its decline during the first half of 2003,” stated Advanced Forecasting, Silicon Valley’s quantitative-based forecasting company for the semiconductor and related industries. Today it introduced a new forecasting service for the wireless communication market. The service predicts the turning-points of ASP of certain wireless communication IC, as well as unit shipments and revenues worldwide. When overlaid on historical industry data of the last three years, the forecast accurately predicted all cycles including the recovery from the 2001 recession and the recent industry softness. 

“We are pleased to be able to provide vendors and purchasers of wireless communication ICs with a quantitative forecasting service that is capable of predicting the swings of this volatile segment, as well as assessing the amount of over-heating in the market, which is crucial for determining the onset of an impending recession,” said Rosa Luis, Director of Marketing and Sales for Advanced Forecasting. “The service offers forecasts of ICs used in cellular phones and infrastructure, and can be customized to specific products.” 

The off-the-shelf Wireless Communication IC forecasts provide a 4 to 5 month horizon of Turning-Points in Underlying Demand and in ASP. “This forecasting service, like the rest of our portfolio, is based on monthly quantitative models that have predicted 90% of the major turning-points of the Silicon Cycle without any retroactive modifications during the last 18 years,” added Luis. The forecasts also exhibit strong correlations with Turning-Points in sales of leading vendors (e.g., CDMA) 

To receive a sample of the Wireless Communications Turning-Points Forecasting Service, please email Rosa Luis at the address listed below. 

Founded in 1987, Advanced Forecasting is a leader in forecasting demand for semiconductors, semiconductor equipment, and materials industries. Its unique features include using pure quantitative input and never retroactively modifying its forecasts. Advanced Forecasting provides the industry's most accurate market forecasts and has acquired a user base of more than 400 companies worldwide.

Contact:

Rosa Luis
Director of Marketing and Sales
Advanced Forecasting
rosal@adv-forecast.com
Phone: 1.408.725.2964

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