Description
This popular seminar
trains participants to identify and predict the peaks and valleys of the
silicon cycle as well as of their own specific products/product lines.
The course covers simple techniques that reveal the true pattern of your
company’s sales, facilitating forecasting them. It relies on quick
analyses available on any computer, avoiding esoteric techniques that
are difficult to explain and interpret. The seminar promotes forecasting
using leading indicators that were found to work well in the
semiconductor and in its related equipment and materials markets.
In this seminar, Advanced Forecasting will also be discussing its new
forecasts for Specific Segments of Semiconductor Equipment, the
portfolio of which will be publicly launched on May 15. These forecasts
include: Surface Conditioning, Etch, Sputter, SOC & Logic Test, Thermal
Processing, CMP, Inspection & Measurement, and Assembly & Packaging.
Topics
Section 1
- Practical forecasting and analysis skills to implement immediately in your
company
•
Implementing a forecast into your decision-making process: from the
corporate level to the product line level
•
Identifying and predicting the peaks and valleys of the
silicon cycle and their impact on the semiconductor equipment
and materials industries
•
Identifying and predicting the peaks and valleys of your
products/divisions' sales
•
Evaluating the merits of any forecast before investing
too much in it
•
Understanding the advantages and disadvantages of a qualitative
model vs. a quantitative model
The first section is a refined concentrated version of the forecasting
workshop taught for 17 years for SEMI and at individual companies,
including: IBM, Texas Instruments, Philips, and ESI, and is based on
Advanced Forecasting’s extensive experience analyzing actual sales data
of numerous real-life products in the semiconductor and related
industries. The seminar is a hands-on tutorial that can be implemented
immediately by attendees. In addition, the lecturers interject
recommendations based on their experience of forecasting market segments
and company products as well as from their observations on management’s
planning decisions in this volatile industry.
Section 2
- Discussion of forecasts of IC
demand, Wafers, Specific Segments of Semiconductor Equipment, and Semiconductor Materials
Advanced Forecasting is
known for calling the major Turning-Points of the Silicon Cycle in
advance and without retroactive modification. It has been able to do
this for 20 years due to its proprietary quantitative forecasting
model. Based on this model, we will present some of our forecasts.
•
New forecasts for specific semiconductor equipment segments (to be
launched on May 15, 2006) will be discussed. Includes: Inspection &
Measurement, Surface Conditioning, Thermal Processing, Assembly &
Packaging, and SOC and Logic Test.
•
Preview of forecasts for IC segments (optoelectronics,
standard linear, application
specific analog, MOS special purpose
logic, etc.), scheduled for public
release in the second half of 2006.
•
Forecasts of the IC Cycle, IC Units, IC Recovery Index, Wafer Sales, and
Materials and Equipment-Components industries.
Managers and
decision-makers in the following areas: business/strategy planning,
marketing and sales, production planning, operations, materials
acquisition, investment, and financial planning.
Fee*
Client (1st Representative) - Free
Client (Each Additional Representative) - $75
Early Bird Registration (By June 16, 2006) - $190
Regular Registration
(After June 16, 2006) - $225
Registration options
•
Register online
•
Download form and email or fax the completed document to:
•
Email:
seminar@adv-forecast.com
•
Fax: (408)
253-1453
*The Fee includes a binder of the seminar's content as well as
online access to a Microsoft Excel Workbook that will
assist users in analyzing their own data for internal
decision-making and determining a forecast’s applicability to that data.
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